, Oscars 2021 predictions: who will win, and who should win?, The Nzuchi Times

Oscars 2021 predictions: who will win, and who should win?

We may be approaching the end of the longest Oscar season in the event’s 93-year history, but with the exception of a handful of notable categories, the outcome remains pleasingly hard to predict. Best Picture and Best Director may both feel like foregone conclusions, but the two lead acting categories are unusually close-fought, with the usual bellwethers firing off in all directions. (In Best Actress, Frances McDormand took the Bafta and Andra Day the Golden Globe, while Viola Davis won at the Screen Actors Guild and Carey Mulligan at the National Board of Review.)

Nevertheless, here are my best guesses in the 20 feature categories:

Best Picture

Will and should win: Nomadland

Chloé Zhao’s bittersweet road movie has led the race since taking the Golden Lion at Venice almost eight months ago: for a rival to slip past now would be an almighty shock.

Best Director

Will and should win: Chloé Zhao, Nomadland

A fresh face, a huge, distinctive talent, and the first nonwhite woman ever to be nominated, Zhao ticks every box that matters.

Best Actor

Will win: Anthony Hopkins, The Father

Should win: Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal

Posthumous recognition for Chadwick Boseman’s career-topping turn in Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom has long felt like a foregone conclusion here – but Hopkins’ Bafta win suggests a surprise is in store.

, Oscars 2021 predictions: who will win, and who should win?, The Nzuchi Times


Viola Davis will be this year’s Best Actress, Robbie reckons


Credit: Getty

Best Actress

Will win: Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Should win: Frances McDormand, Nomadland

Between these two it’s extremely tight, though Davis’s larger-than-life, blustery grandeur should give her the edge.

Best Supporting Actor

Will win: Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah

Should win: Paul Raci, Sound of Metal

Raci’s magnetisingly witty and wise portrayal of a deaf Vietnam veteran stands out purely by dint of not being a historical figure – but Kaluuya’s brooding charisma probably has this sewn up.

Best Supporting Actress

Will win: Yuh-jung Youn, Minari

Should win: Amanda Seyfried, Mank

The venerable Korean actress has been a reliable beam of sunlight during campaigning season, and gives the kind of scene-stealing performance this category loves to reward.

, Oscars 2021 predictions: who will win, and who should win?, The Nzuchi Times


Emerald Fennell is the favourite to win Best Director, for her debut film


Credit: Contour

Best Original Screenplay

Will win: Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman

Should win: Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7

, Oscars 2021 predictions: who will win, and who should win?, The Nzuchi Times

Perhaps the toughest call here: will voters honour Fennell’s daring, timely thriller-fable, or Sorkin’s unparalleled rhetorical showmanship? Post-Baftas, the former feels a smidge more likely.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Will win: Christopher Hampton and Florian Zeller, The Father

Should win: Chloé Zhao, Nomadland

A prime opportunity for the Academy to recognise a film it clearly adores but which isn’t going to win Best Picture – and in this of all years, they’ll surely be keen to spread the love.

Best Cinematography

Will and should win: Nomadland, though it’s a toss-up between this and Mank in both respects, and voters abiding by the spread-the-love ethos (see above) may tip the balance in its monochrome rival’s favour.

Best Film Editing

Will and should win: The Trial of the Chicago 7 – it’s just so snappy.

Best Animated Feature Film

Will and should win: Soul, but what a field, with the dazzling Wolfwalkers and A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon running Pixar’s masterpiece extremely close.

Best International Feature Film

Will win: Another Round – Thomas Vinterberg’s Best Director nomination rather gives the game away here.

Should win: Quo Vadis, Aida?

Best Documentary Feature Film

Will win: My Octopus Teacher, which is on an unexpected tear.

Should win: Collective

Best Original Score

Will and should win: Soul – Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross, and Jon Batiste, though it’s a strong year. Reznor and Ross’s Mank score is a peach, and its classic-Hollywood orchestrations are impressively against-type to boot.

Best Original Song

Will win: Speak Now (One Night in Miami)

Should win: Fight for You (Judas and the Black Messiah)

Best Sound

Will and should win: Sound of Metal – the clue’s in the title.

Best Production Design

Will and should win: Mank

Best Visual Effects

Will and should win: Tenet

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Will and should win: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Best Costume Design

Will win: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Should win: Mank

The Oscars will be shown on Sky Cinema from 10pm on Sunday

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